ICYMI: the end of the transition edition

January 11, 2009

Sarah Palin and the Anchorage Daily News are having a very public argument over Palin’s accusation that the ADN is pushing the rumor that Palin’s youngest son is really her grandson

Senate Democrats hope to pass President-elect Obama’s stimulus package by February 13

Obama reveals that the choice of first dog has been narrowed down to two breeds

Ambinder plays oddsmaker

Biden will resign from the Senate on Thursday

Obama will honor McCain at a dinner the night before the inauguration

Inaugural parade tickets sold out five minutes after they went on sale

The race to replace Rahm Emanuel in the House is wide open (putting it lightly)


McCain returns to the McCain of old

December 14, 2008

John McCain is seeming to return to the John McCain of old that the majority of the country respected. On this morning’s This Week, McCain defended President-elect Obama over the Blagojevich scandal and attacked the Republican Party for trying to attack Obama over it:

I think that the Obama campaign should and will give all information necessary. You know, in all due respect to the Republican National Committee and anybody — right now, I think we should try to be working constructively together, not only on an issue such as this, but on the economy stimulus package, reforms that are necessary. And so, I don’t know all the details of the relationship between President-elect Obama’s campaign or his people and the governor of Illinois, but I have some confidence that all the information will come out. It always does, it seems to me.


Obama & McCain meet

November 17, 2008

President-elect Obama and Senator John McCain met earlier today in Chicago and released the following joint statement:

At this defining moment in history, we believe that Americans of all parties want and need their leaders to come together and change the bad habits of Washington so that we can solve the common and urgent challenges of our time. It is in this spirit that we had a productive conversation today about the need to launch a new era of reform where we take on government waste and bitter partisanship in Washington in order to restore trust in government, and bring back prosperity and opportunity for every hardworking American family. We hope to work together in the days and months ahead on critical challenges like solving our financial crisis, creating a new energy economy, and protecting our nation’s security.

Also attending the meeting were Obama’s chief of staff Rahm Emanuel and Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC).


McCain to do Leno on Veterans Day

November 7, 2008

From an NBC press release:

In honor of the traditional observance of Veterans Day, “The Tonight Show with Jay Leno” (Monday – Friday, 11:35 p.m. – 12:37 a.m. ET on NBC) welcomes U.S. Senator John McCain (R-Arizona) on Tuesday, November 11 — marking the senator’s first television appearance since the 2008 presidential election on November 4.


Top McCain aide fired last week for attacking McCain in press

November 5, 2008

Randy Scheunemann, who was John McCain’s top foreign policy advisor, was fired from the McCain campaign last week for attacking other McCain aides last week. Scheunemann apparently gave the press numerous unattributed quotes criticizing top McCain aides for their treatment of Sarah Palin.


McCain’s concession speech

November 5, 2008


How election night results will look (without swing states)

November 3, 2008
How we think the electoral map will look without swing states being factored in

How we think the electoral map will look without swing states being factored in

At the risk of taking some of the excitement out of election night, we have worked up a list of what election night results will look like and when in order (without swing states). Below is our mock election night results:

7:00pm Kentucky, South Carolina, Georgia, Indiana, Vermont and Virginia polls close giving McCain a 31-3 lead (VA & IN are swing)

7:30pm West Virginia, North Carolina and Ohio close giving McCain a 36-3 lead over Obama (NC & OH are swing)

8:00pm Tennessee, Alabama, Washington DC, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma and Pennsylvania close giving Obama a 82-69 lead in electoral votes (swing states are PA, MO & FL)

8:30pm Arkansas polls close giving McCain six electoral votes, but Obama maintains remains in the lead 82-75

9:00pm New York, Texas, Wisconsin, Wyoming, Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, Rhode Island and South Dakota polls close with Obama still up 159-145 (the lone swing state is CO)

10:00pm Iowa, Montana, Nevada and Utah close with Obama moving to 166 electoral votes and McCain to 153 (NV is the only swing state)

11:00pm Hawaii, Idaho, Washington, California, North Dakota and Oregon polls close (no swing states) where Obama vaults into a 243-160 lead

1:00am The last state polls close and Alaska’s three electoral votes go to McCain and the electoral vote count becomes 243-163, which gives Obama an 80 electoral vote lead without counting any of the swing states

Remaining 132 electoral votes from Pennsylvania, Virginia, Nevada, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Indiana, Missouri and Colorado


Chuck Todd: PA McCain’s only hope

November 2, 2008


McCain’s SNL appearance

November 1, 2008


McCain to do SNL tomorrow night

October 31, 2008

John McCain will take a quick break from the campaign trail and appear on Saturday Night Live tomorrow night.


McCain up by 1 in Arizona

October 31, 2008

A new Research 2000 poll shows that John McCain leads Barack Obama 48-47 in McCain’s home state of Arizona. What makes this even more shocking is that a September 29 Rasmussen Reports poll showed McCain leading Obama 59-38.

McCain is now expected to campaign in his home state on Monday.


Poll: Obama up 11 nationally

October 30, 2008

A CBS News/New York Times poll released today shows Barack Obama leading John McCain 52% to 41%, a lead of 11 points.

Earlier today, a Fox News poll showed Obama up by only 3 points, but there were flaws with the poll’s sampling that appear to have skewed the results to reflect a closer race.


New Fox News poll shows Obama up 3; poll flawed due to sampling

October 30, 2008

A new Fox News poll shows Barack Obama leading John McCain 47% to 44%, a lead of just three points. However, as Marc Ambinder notes, Fox’s poll is somewhat flawed in that its sampling changed. Last week, the same poll consisted of 43% Democrats and 37% Republicans. This latest poll consisted of 41% Democrats and 39% Republicans, so it is to be expected that the result would show a tighter race.

Here is an even more extensive breakdown of the sampling from last week’s poll showing Obama up by 7:

Democrats 401, ±5 percentage points; Republicans 345, ±5; independents 148, ±8 Obama supporters 462, ±5; McCain supporters 370, ±5

Then this is the breakdown of the sampling from this week’s poll showing Obama up by 3:

Democrat LV 379, ±5; Republican LV 364, ±5; independent LV 146, ±8, Obama supporters LV 439, ±5; McCain supporters LV 405, ±5

Update: A CBS News/New York Times poll also released today shows Obama up by 11 points. In that poll, Obama leads McCain 52% to 41%.


McCain forgets the names of the secretaries of State who endorsed him

October 26, 2008

From this morning’s Meet The Press:


McCain’s PA communications director pushed story of hoax attack on McCain volunteer

October 24, 2008

After just over a day of Fox News and Drudge constantly running the story of a McCain campaign volunteer in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania who claimed to have been mugged, sexually assaulted, told that she would be taught a lesson for being a McCain supporter and then subsequently had a backwards B carved into her cheek, the Pittsburgh police have announced that the “victim” confessed that she made up the entire incident. She also claimed that her attacked was a “six foot four black man.” who targeted her for supporting McCain.

Even more shocking is that the McCain campaign’s Pennsylvania communications director, Peter Feldman, began pushing the most incinderiary part of the story to the Pennsylvania media before all of the facts were known and the volunteer had conducted an in-depth interview with the police.

The common belief among the press and many veteran political observers is that the McCain campaign’s pushing of the story was designed to drum up racist tension among Pennsylvania voters in an effort to try and swing the state into the McCain column. Pennsylvania is a state that former Pennsylvania governor and McCain supporter Tom Ridge has admitted is a must-win for McCain.

It is a clear sign that the McCain campaign is desperate and is taking a very low road in the last days of the 2008 presidential election. This kind of campaign strategy is not appropriate and Peter Feldman should be fired (but, he won’t be).


Outside McCain rally in Denver fervor reaches shocking & unhealthy levels

October 24, 2008

The racism continues outside of a McCain rally in Denver earlier today.


Dept of wondering…

October 24, 2008

In the just wondering column: has anybody seen Senator Dick Lugar (R-IN) campaigning for McCain in his home state at all this general election? He seems to be sitting this election out.

It is also one of the worst kept secrets that Senator Lugar is a fan of Senator Obama’s and has offered him warranted praise throughout the general election.


McCain responds to RNC’s buying Palin $150k worth of clothes; says she needed them

October 23, 2008

John McCain has weighed in on the revelation that the Republican National Committee spent $150,000 on clothes for Sarah Palin and her family. At a campaign stop in Florida McCain told a crowd, “She needed clothes at the time.”

McCain’s argument doesn’t hold water. Governor Palin seems to have had clothes before being tapped as McCain’s running mate. While it is conceivable that she did not pack enough clothing for the initial start of campaigning (in late August she was flown to McCain’s Arizona ranch, offered the vice presidency, immediately taken to Ohio for the VP announcement and did not return to Alaska until around September 10), Palin could have purchased clothes from less expensive stores, not purchased $150,000 worth of clothing, or had an aide coming from Alaska bring clothing from her home.


Chuck Todd: McCain & Palin not doing well on the trail & together

October 23, 2008


Flashback 2000: McCain pushed “socialist” policies

October 22, 2008

John McCain is attacking Barack Obama for advocating positions he himself held in 2000.