McCain up by 1 in Arizona

A new Research 2000 poll shows that John McCain leads Barack Obama 48-47 in McCain’s home state of Arizona. What makes this even more shocking is that a September 29 Rasmussen Reports poll showed McCain leading Obama 59-38.

McCain is now expected to campaign in his home state on Monday.

Poll: Obama up 11 nationally

A CBS News/New York Times poll released today shows Barack Obama leading John McCain 52% to 41%, a lead of 11 points.

Earlier today, a Fox News poll showed Obama up by only 3 points, but there were flaws with the poll’s sampling that appear to have skewed the results to reflect a closer race.

New Fox News poll shows Obama up 3; poll flawed due to sampling

A new Fox News poll shows Barack Obama leading John McCain 47% to 44%, a lead of just three points. However, as Marc Ambinder notes, Fox’s poll is somewhat flawed in that its sampling changed. Last week, the same poll consisted of 43% Democrats and 37% Republicans. This latest poll consisted of 41% Democrats and 39% Republicans, so it is to be expected that the result would show a tighter race.

Here is an even more extensive breakdown of the sampling from last week’s poll showing Obama up by 7:

Democrats 401, ±5 percentage points; Republicans 345, ±5; independents 148, ±8 Obama supporters 462, ±5; McCain supporters 370, ±5

Then this is the breakdown of the sampling from this week’s poll showing Obama up by 3:

Democrat LV 379, ±5; Republican LV 364, ±5; independent LV 146, ±8, Obama supporters LV 439, ±5; McCain supporters LV 405, ±5

Update: A CBS News/New York Times poll also released today shows Obama up by 11 points. In that poll, Obama leads McCain 52% to 41%.

Swing state poll

New NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows the race is not tightening

A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows that Barack Obama leads John McCain 52% to 42% among registered voters. This is the first time that Obama has crossed NBC’s 50% threshold. Two weeks ago, Obama was up 49% to 43%. Read more about the poll here with some interesting findings and a quick summary chart below:

• Obama leads with independent voters, 49% to 37%, suburban voters, 53% to 41%, Catholics, 50% to 44%, and white women, 49% to 45%.
• 55% of respondents said Sarah Palin is not qualified to serve as president if the need arises, up five points from the previous poll.
• 56% said they are either “optimistic or confident” or “satisfied and hopeful” that Obama would do a good job as president; 44 percent said the same of McCain.
• Obama has a 39-point advantage over McCain in handling health care, a 21-point edge on improving the economy, a 21-point lead on the mortgage and housing crisis, a 17-point edge on dealing with the economic crisis, a 14-point lead on taxes and a 12-point advantage on energy and the cost of gas.

CBS poll of uncomitted voters: Obama won debate

CBS News polled uncommitted voters they found that Barack Obama won the third and final presidential debate 53% while 22% found that John McCain won the debate.

Obama breaks 50% in three key states

The latest Quinnipiac poll shows Barack Obama receiving over 50% in three key states.

FL: Obama- 51% McCain 43%

OH: Obama- 50% McCain 42%

PA: Obama- 54% McCain 39%

Poll: 86% want debate to continue as planned

SurveyUSA has just released a poll that finds that 50% of the country wants Friday’s presidential debate between John McCain and Barack Obama to continue as planned, while 36% want the debate to continue, but be focused on the economy as opposed to foreign policy. 10% said they believed the debate should be postponed and 4% were not sure.

CNN releases 5 new swing state polls

From CNN’s latest polls of swing states:

OH: Obama 49% McCain47%

NC: McCain, 48% Obama 47%

WI: Obama: 50% McCain 47%

FL: Obama 48% McCain 48%

IN: McCain, 51% Obama 45%

Poll: Obama gets post-convention bounce

A Diageo/Hotline poll taken this past weekend, after Sarah Palin was announced as John McCain’s running mate, has Senator Obama leading Senator McCain 48% to 39%.

Obama gets big post-foreign trip bump; leads McCain by 9 points

The results of the first polls taken after Barack Obama’s nine day trip through Iraq, Afghanistan, Kuwait, Jordan, France, Israel, Palestine, Germany and England, are beginning to come out and they are positive for Senator Obama. In the latest Gallup daily tracking poll, Senator Obama leads Senator McCain 49% to 40%.

Polls in 4 states show tight race

From the latest Washington Post/WSJ/Quinnipiac University poll:

CO
McCain 46%
Obama 44%

MN
Obama 46%
McCain 44%

MI
Obama 46%
McCain 42%

WI
Obama 50%
McCain 39%

Poll: McCain trails Obama in home state of Arizona

A new poll from Zogby shows that Barack Obama is leading John McCain in his home state of Arizona. Obama leads McCain 42% to 39% with Libertarian presidential candidate Bob Barr of Georgia polling at 7%.

Age more of an issue than race in election

AP word association poll about Obama & McCain

Obama leads McCain among Hispanic voters

Poll: Obama maintains lead over McCain

A new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll has Senator Obama leading Senator McCain nationally 50% to 45%.

Poll: Obama leads McCain by 12 points

A just released poll conducted by the LA Times/Bloomberg shows Senator Obama leading Senator McCain 49% to 37%. When third party candidates Ralph Nader and Bob Barr are added to the poll, Obama’s lead increases to 15% with Obama getting 48%, McCain receiving 33%.

Georgia poll shows state in serious play

The red state Georgia is in play this general election. According to a poll conducted by Insider Advantage, Senator McCain leads Senator Obama 44% to 43% with Libertarian presidential candidate Bob Barr polls in at 6%. This is welcome news for the Obama campaign as it now means that Senator McCain will have to spend precious time and money defending a state that just nine months ago was expected to be a lock for the Republican presidential nominee.

Poll: Obama leads McCain by 15

Senator Obama leads Senator McCain 51% to 36% in this latest Newsweek poll.